Fulham 1-1 Newcastle United: result and report

The Pundit picked Fulham (43%): wrong

Report

Fulham and Newcastle United drew at Craven Cottage, and the point is a fair return for both. Each side had a different claim to the win: Newcastle United made the better chances, while Fulham had more of the ball and more of the pressure.

How the late goals came

Neither side scored for 80 minutes, though the game then turned in a three-minute burst.

Jacob Murphy put Newcastle United ahead on 80 minutes. Their lead lasted only until the 83rd, when Rodrigo Muniz equalised for Fulham. That was the end of the scoring, so Newcastle United left with a point despite leading with ten minutes to play.

Newcastle United: better chances, none of them taken

The chance figures favour the visitors. Newcastle United finished with 0.96 xG to Fulham's 0.72, took eight shots to six and created three big chances to one. They missed all three, which is why the score stayed level for so long.

Shots on target were level at five each, so Newcastle United did not dominate in front of goal. Still, the clearer openings fell to them.

Fulham: territory and a near miss

Fulham's case rests on where the game was played. They had 58% of the possession and 59 dangerous attacks to Newcastle United's 35, while their average pressure was more than double their visitors'. They also hit the woodwork once, a near miss that could have changed the result.

Even so, all that territory produced only one big chance. Fulham's pressure built steadily but created little, which helps explain why their goal came so late.